| % of | ||
| Composite | ||
| Political | ||
| Economic expectations versus reality | 6% | |
| Economic planning failures | 6% | |
| Political leadership | 6% | |
| External conflict | 5% | |
| Corruption in government | 3% | |
| Military in politics | 3% | |
| Organized religion in politics | 3% | |
| Law and order tradition | 3% | |
| Racial and nationality tensions | 3% | |
| Political terrorism | 3% | |
| Civil war | 3% | |
| Political party development | 3% | |
| Quality of bureaucracy | 3% | |
| Total Political Points | 50% | |
| Financial | ||
| Loan default or unfavorable loan restructuring | 5% | |
| Delayed payment of suppliers' credits | 5% | |
| Repudiation of contracts by government | 5% | |
| Losses from exchange controls | 5% | |
| Expropriation of private investments | 5% | |
| Total Financial Points | 25% | |
| Economic | ||
| Inflation | 5% | |
| Debt service as a % of exports of goods and services | 5% | |
| International liquidity ratios | 3% | |
| Foreign trade collection experience | 3% | |
| Current account balance as % of goods and services | 8% | |
| Parallel foreign exchange rate market indicators | 3% | |
| Total Economic Points | 25% | |
| Overall Points | 100% | |
Last Updated: May 30, 1996
Analyst/Contact: Campbell R. Harvey
E-Mail Address: charvey@mail.duke.edu