Table

The Impact of Liberalizations on Returns: No Control Variables

Sensitivity of results to definition of 'during' liberalization indicator

Panel A:

Official Liberalizations

During (6,3)

PRE

DURING

POST

AFTER

Wald

coefficient

0.007

0.009

0.019

0.019

3.270

t-stat

1.19

1.07

2.96

2.96

0.071

During (6,6)

coefficient

0.007

0.013

0.016

0.002

1.840

t-stat

1.17

1.62

2.45

0.27

0.175

During (6,12)

coefficient

0.006

0.023

0.010

0.000

0.200

t-stat

1.15

3.19

1.48

-0.03

0.655

During (3,12)

coefficient

0.003

0.028

0.009

-0.001

0.590

t-stat

0.57

3.60

1.31

-0.20

0.442

During (12,6)

coefficient

0.006

0.014

0.017

0.003

2.280

t-stat

1.11

2.07

2.58

0.44

0.131

Panel B:

First Sign

During (6,3)

PRE

DURING

POST

AFTER

Wald

coefficient

0.012

0.014

0.032

0.016

7.370

t-stat

1.97

1.53

4.47

2.49

0.007

During (6,6)

coefficient

0.012

0.019

0.029

0.016

5.290

t-stat

1.93

2.10

4.00

2.49

0.021

During (6,12)

coefficient

0.011

0.023

0.025

0.014

3.390

t-stat

1.78

2.96

3.48

2.13

0.066

During (3,12)

coefficient

0.007

0.027

0.023

0.013

4.800

t-stat

1.19

3.28

3.33

1.98

0.028

During (12,6)

coefficient

0.016

0.019

0.032

0.019

4.770

t-stat

2.51

2.47

4.34

2.87

0.029

Table (continued)

Panel C:

Capital Flows

During (6,3)

PRE

DURING

POST

AFTER

Wald

coefficient

0.006

0.017

0.005

0.009

0.050

t-stat

1.01

1.95

0.74

1.09

0.829

During (6,6)

coefficient

0.006

0.014

0.005

0.009

0.020

t-stat

1.01

1.72

0.79

1.08

0.888

During (6,12)

coefficient

0.006

0.021

-0.001

0.005

0.950

t-stat

1.04

2.86

-0.11

0.60

0.330

During (3,12)

coefficient

0.010

0.019

-0.001

0.005

2.340

t-stat

1.71

2.50

-0.12

0.64

0.126

During (12,6)

coefficient

0.009

0.010

0.006

0.009

0.190

t-stat

1.38

1.34

0.86

1.15

0.663

Regression includes country specific constants but no control variables.

Errors are corrected for serial correlation and heteroscedasticity.

Pre and Post Periods are always 30 months.

During period follows specification outlined in each panel.